Saturday, January 24, 2015

MUENCHHAUSEN, JAN. 24, 2015

MUENCHHAUSEN 
AN ELECTRONIC NEWSLETTER ABOUT  
ENVIRONMENT, ENERGY, RENEWABLE
RESOURCE TECHNOLOGY,
AND RELATED TOPICS
By BOOTSTRAP PRESS, INC.
BETHESDA, MD 20817
JJGREENBARON(at)VERIZON.NET
===============================================================
January 24, 2015
===============================================================


WELCOME!
The Green Baron (TGB) welcomes one and all who take the time to read Muenchhausen. He aims to "tell it like it is" as much as possible, and avoid advocacy and ideological positions. There are enough of those to go around in other publications. The Green Baron also welcomes comments from anyone who may read Muenchhausen. Please send comments to the e-mail address above.


GAS TAX INCREASE?
"Over the past few weeks, lawmakers from both parties have voiced support for an increase in the gas tax, presently assessed at the pump and used to pay for road and other infrastructure improvements. Their reasoning is that with gas prices so low at the pump, now is a good time to collect more money to pay for these needed infrastructure improvements. The reality is that the gas tax pays for only about 70% of scheduled infrastructure projects, so eventually a funding source to cover this gap will have to be found. However, this source will not be an increase in the gas tax. More lawmakers are adamantly opposed to this idea, including leading committee chairmen and those in leadership positions. We may hear more talk about a potential increase in the gas tax as prices at the pump stay low, but we think this is just that - talk" (1). This is the view of economic/political experts at the Washington, DC offices of the Union Bank of Switzerland. TGB thinks, however, that there will be strong pressure to raise the federal gasoline tax because the low gas prices make this move look like harvesting low-hanging fruit. TGB asks pardon for his apparent cynicism, but he has to call things as he sees them.
 Gas Tax
Low-hanging fruit? (2)


KEYSTONE XL: MORE ACTIVITY
It is almost certain that Congress, as it is currently constituted, will pass a bill authorizing the completion of the much-discussed Keystone XL Pipeline, whose function it would be to transport crude oil from Canada and even parts of the northern United States to Gulf Coast area refineries for processing (and possible export of some of it?). As things stand today, a Presidential veto is almost certain, and the votes in both houses of Congress to override this veto are lacking. Some UBS energy analysts indicate that Senate passage could be complete by perhaps January 31 (1). TGB's belief, and please excuse the use of a hackneyed old expression, "Close, but no cigar."

MEDICINE FROM THE "DIRT"
There of some reports that new types of antibiotics may be obtained from the soil--"dirt", if you wish--that have the ability to kill methycillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) and TB bacteria. TGB plans to go into this in near-future postings of Muenchhausen. The lead researcher is Kim Lewis of Northeastern University. The aim, already with preliminary success, is to develop novel antibiotics that can overcome drug resistance in bacteria and do so for perhaps several decades (3). Lewis is the director of Northeastern's Antimicrobial Discovery Center (4). TGB wishes the greatest success for his efforts!

Kim Lewis
Kim Lewis. Could revolutionize drug discovery.

REFERENCES:
1. www.ubs.com/fs.
2. Powell, A. "Hopes rise as gas prices lower." The Inkwell, Jan. 22, 2015. http://theinkwellonline.com/2015/01/22/hopes-rise-as-gas-prices-lower/
3. Feltman, R. "Playing in the dirt yields an antibiotic". Washington Post, Jan. 8, 2015, p. A1.
4. Northeastern University.  http://www.northeastern.edu/news/faculty-experts/kim-lewis/

Wednesday, January 7, 2015

MUENCHHAUSEN 
AN ELECTRONIC NEWSLETTER ABOUT  
ENVIRONMENT, ENERGY, RENEWABLE
RESOURCE TECHNOLOGY,
AND RELATED TOPICS
By BOOTSTRAP PRESS, INC.
BETHESDA, MD 20817
JJGREENBARON(at)VERIZON.NET
===============================================================
January 7, 2015
===============================================================

WELCOME!
The Green Baron (TGB) welcomes one and all who take the time to read Muenchhausen. He aims to "tell it like it is" as much as possible, and avoid advocacy and ideological positions. There are enough of those to go around in other publications. The Green Baron also welcomes comments from anyone who may read Muenchhausen. Please send comments to the e-mail address above.

Merry Russian Christmas!

Merry Russian Christmas by Weasley-Achemist93

"DEEP FREEZE"
It appears that many Midwestern and Eastern states of the US are in the "deep freeze", with perhaps record low temperatures, combined with high winds, are plaguing cities such as Chicago. Even TGB's area of southeastern Montgomery County, MD, will experience bitter cold with a fresh wind behind it, to give a wind-chill effect perhaps as low as -15 F or -26 C. After maybe two days there could be some moderation in air temperatures here, but the comfortable days are gone, seemingly not to return for several weeks.

KEYSTONE XL TO A VOTE
On January 8, legislation authorizing the completion of the Keystone XL Pipeline from Canada to the Gulf Coast should be coming up for a vote in the newly constituted 114th US Congress. Conventional wisdom states that it will pass the House of Representatives and the Senate. A presidential veto appears certain, and TGB sees estimates that the votes in both chambers needed to override a veto are not available. Strange events, however, cannot be entirely ruled out, and perhaps President Obama's veto could be overridden. Even in that highly unlikely event, however, TGB would guess that construction of Keystone XL would still not occur, because batteries of lawsuits stand ready to be filed should an override happen, so the project could be tied up in the courts and likely die there.

In any event, the Alberta Oil,Sands oil will go somewhere: Either to a Canadian Pacific port somewhere near Vancouver, or perhaps to an Atlantic port such as St. John, New Brunswick, or maybe even both. Stay tuned!

Saturday, January 3, 2015

MUENCHHAUSEN, JAN. 3, 2015



MUENCHHAUSEN 
AN ELECTRONIC NEWSLETTER ABOUT  
ENVIRONMENT, ENERGY, RENEWABLE
RESOURCE TECHNOLOGY,
AND RELATED TOPICS
By BOOTSTRAP PRESS, INC.
BETHESDA, MD 20817
JJGREENBARON(at)VERIZON.NET
===============================================================
January 3, 2015
===============================================================

WELCOME!
The Green Baron (TGB) welcomes one and all who take the time to read Muenchhausen. He aims to "tell it like it is" as much as possible, and avoid advocacy and ideological positions. There are enough of those to go around in other publications. The Green Baron also welcomes comments from anyone who may read Muenchhausen. Please send comments to the e-mail address above.



HAPPY "GNU" YEAR!
Yes, 2015 is what's "gnu", and I am sure that those poor antelopes are fed up with that tired old pun. But then, TGB has never met a bad pun he didn't like.




 

Here is what's "gnu". (1)



ENJOY IT WHILE YOU CAN!
TGB is referring to the recent rapid drop in automotive fuel prices. TGB also is enjoying them, but he has a sneaking suspicion that this situation, happy for the consumer but unhappy for many in power, including owners of sovereign wealth funds (SWFs), soon will come to the proverbial screeching halt and be reversed. How and when “normalcy”—if “normalcy” is how the previous price situation can be characterized—will be restored, TGB hesitates to guess. But he does expect that such restoration will start in the near future and be steadily rapid through constant increases in prices. Increases in fuel taxes, he believes, will be imposed at a steady pace.

TGB just heard a news report (2) that sales of large vehicles such as sport utility vehicles (SUVs), pickup trucks, and large automobiles have been surging recently. Given the current lower motor fuel prices, this should not be surprising. The same news report said that dealers are offering incentives to buy smaller cars. TGB, however, believes that smaller cars will soon come back into vogue as fuel prices return to the normal quasi-cartel control (however “normal” might be defined).

 
Service station, Berryville, VA. Photo by Will Watson, National Press Club.



A factor of the fuel price dip is sharply increased oil and gas production in the United States, mainly through updated extraction technologies, including hydraulic fracturing (“fracking”). Another may be actions by the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia to increase oil production; this is partly geopolitical and is aimed partly at disrupting the oil economies of nations such as Iran and Russia. Indeed, it is arguable that this combination of these and other factors has led to the current weakening of the economic power of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). How long OPEC will remain this weak is, in TGB’s view, open to question. Nevertheless, the government of Iran has referred to the current oil price drop as “treachery”.

“LAWFARE” AGAINST FRACKING
Several factors could contribute to curtailing oil/gas production. Among them may be efforts to reduce the pace of fracking in some places. Indeed, Andrew Cuomo, the governor of the State of New York, has, in effect, ordered a ban on the process in that state. TGB believes it possible that in other states of the US, similar bans may be brought about by legislative or executive action, or perhaps by court order. Environmental groups are filing lawsuits to put a stop to fracking and TGB would not be astonished by a veritable blizzard of such suits. And—please bear with TGB for a bit of cynicism—some of the expenses of these lawsuits are possibly paid by the SWFs of member-nations of OPEC, plus the Russian Federation. TGB cannot yet prove this to the extent that it would stand up in a court, but he believes that this supposition is not unreasonable. TGB has seen such tactics characterizes as “lawfare”, an approach to warfare through legal systems; a current salient example may be found in the Palestinian campaigns against Israel.

Andrew Cuomo by Pat Arnow cropped.jpeg
Gov. Cuomo: Banned fracking in NY (3)

TGB might add that in some quarters, there was hope that Cuomo would lift this ban. These hopes were to be dashed (4).

AN ABUNDANT SUPPLY (?)
Bill Colton, chief strategist for Exxon Mobil, forecasts an abundant supply of hydrocarbons essentially into the foreseeable future; perhaps one could even characterize his view as sanguine (5). He predicts that the US will be a major exporter of hydrocarbon fuels and feedstocks therefor by 2025, and said, "Peak oil theorists have been run out of town by American ingenuity" (the hypothesis that world oil production has peaked for all time and that production always will decrease from now on).














Colton: Sees abundant oil/gas to far future. (6)

Somehow, TGB is not as sanguine as Colton appears to be. TGB believes that major efforts will be made in various quarters to curtail hydrocarbon production sharply to restore prices and increase them further and, yes theoretically to stop and reverse climate change and force conversion to renewable resources. (Nuclear? Actually fraught with environmental problems and not politically palatable.) That is a goal TGB would love to see accomplished; there is, after all, more renewable energy immediately available than humanity, even with its large numbers, for millennia to come. However, can someone explain to TGB how all this renewable energy is to be accumulated, concentrated, stored, and distributed to support economies such as exist in the world today? He awaits a suggestion for a system or systems.

REFERENCES:
1. http://naturalworldoflivingthings.blogspot.com/2012/12/what-is-gnu.html
2. News report, WMAL, Washington, DC, Jan. 2, 2015, 16:00 EST.
3. Photo:http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrew_Cuomo
4. Gallay, P. "Why Andrew Cuomo Banned Fracking in New York". http://www.huffingtonpost.com/paul-gallay/why-andrew-cuomo-banned-f_2_b_6388228.html
5. Fahey, J. "Exxon sees abundant oil, gas far into future". http://bigstory.ap.org/article/e0a2729f04c14578b2c7183ffb2a4b5f/exxon-sees-abundant-oil-gas-far-future